Wishful Thinking

Apparently Nan Aron of the Alliance for Justice hasn't been checking the odds over at tradesports.com. Today's Washington Post reports that Aron is confident "We will win this nomination battle." But the conventional wisdom, as reflected at tradesports.com, the nation's leading futures market for current events, says that Judge Alito has a nearly 90% chance of being confirmed. The tradesports CV also says he'll get about 65 votes in the Senate.